Close approach · predicted from public data

STARLINK-36219 and COSMOS 2251 DEB: 243 km apart

STARLINK-36219 (satellite) and COSMOS 2251 DEB (debris) are predicted to pass 243 km apart at 2026-10-12 09:38 UTC, about 484 km up, closing at 12.5 km/s.

At this moment in the animation

Time (UTC): —
To closest approach: —
Distance between them: —
STARLINK-36219 altitude: —
COSMOS 2251 DEB altitude: —

Distance between the two objects, 45 minutes before to 15 minutes after the closest approach (log scale).

Closest approach

Latest data (ours): 243 km
Screening (SOCRATES): 26 m
Relative speed: 12.45 km/s
Crossing angle: 109.6°
Over: 22.2°S, 67.1°E
Worst-case probability: 1 in 9

The two predictions differ by 243 km. The screening used orbit data 5.6 days old at the time of approach; small errors grow fast, and satellites like Starlink manoeuvre routinely. The newer data is usually the better guide.

The two objects

Object	NORAD	Type	Latest orbit data	Data age at approach
STARLINK-36219	67125	working satellite	2026-10-07 11:00 UTC	4.9 d screening: 5.6 d
COSMOS 2251 DEB	34036	debris	2026-10-08 02:09 UTC	4.3 d screening: 5.2 d

What this is, and is not

This is a prediction built from public orbit data, which is accurate to roughly a kilometre and comes without uncertainty estimates. Operators get better data and formal warnings, and may already have moved. A prediction of a few hundred metres is common and rarely ends in a collision; it is the sheer number of them that makes orbit dangerous.

Orbits are calculated in your browser with SGP4, the same model used to produce the data, from CelesTrak GP data (CCSDS OMM). Screening by CelesTrak SOCRATES Plus. Earth imagery: NASA Blue Marble.